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Abbravation: Climatic Change

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Natural hazards in Australia: floods

Authors: Fiona Johnson, Christopher J. White, Albert van Dijk, Marie Ekstrom, Jason P. Evans, Dörte Jakob, Anthony S. Kiem, Michael Leonard, Alexandra Rouillard, Seth Westra,

Publish Date: 2016/05/11
Volume: 139, Issue:1, Pages: 21-35
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Floods are caused by a number of interacting factors, making it remarkably difficult to explain changes in flood hazard. This paper reviews the current understanding of historical trends and variability in flood hazard across Australia. Links between flood and rainfall trends cannot be made due to the influence of climate processes over a number of spatial and temporal scales as well as landscape changes that affect the catchment response. There are also still considerable uncertainties in future rainfall projections, particularly for sub-daily extreme rainfall events. This is in addition to the inherent uncertainty in hydrological modelling such as antecedent conditions and feedback mechanisms.Research questions are posed based on the current state of knowledge. These include a need for high-resolution climate modelling studies and efforts in compiling and analysing databases of sub-daily rainfall and flood records. Finally there is a need to develop modelling frameworks that can deal with the interaction between climate processes at different spatio-temporal scales, so that historical flood trends can be better explained and future flood behaviour understood.This paper was a result of collaboration through the working group ‘Trends and Extremes’ as part of the Australian Water and Energy Exchanges Initiative (OzEWEX). J. Evans was supported by the Australian Research Council Future Fellowship FT110100576. A. Van Dijk was supported through Australian Research Council’s Discovery Projects funding scheme (project number DP40103679). S. Westra and F. Johnson were supported through Australian Research Council’s Discovery Project DP150100411. The constructive comments from the anonymous reviewers helped to improve the clarity of the paper.



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Other Papers In This Journal:

  1. Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector
  2. Climate change effects on winter chill for tree crops with chilling requirements on the Arabian Peninsula
  3. Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world
  4. Impact of climate change on U.S. building energy demand: sensitivity to spatiotemporal scales
  5. How stakeholders handle uncertainty in a local climate adaptation governance network
  6. An interactive multi-scale integrated assessment of future regional water availability for agricultural irrigation in East Anglia and North West England
  7. Non-linear responses of glaciated prairie wetlands to climate warming
  8. Climate change impacts and adaptations: lessons learned from the greater Zambeze River Valley and beyond
  9. Near-term prediction of impact-relevant extreme temperature indices
  10. Temperature variations and rice yields in China: historical contributions and future trends
  11. Mapping current and future potential snakebite risk in the new world
  12. Uncertainty in resilience to climate change in India and Indian states
  13. To what extent can a long-term temperature target guide near-term climate change commitments?
  14. Predicting future threats to the long-term survival of Gila trout using a high-resolution simulation of climate change
  15. A pioneer country? A history of Norwegian climate politics
  16. Linking Inuit knowledge and meteorological station observations to understand changing wind patterns at Clyde River
  17. Impacts of future climatic and land cover changes on the hydrological regime of the Madeira River basin
  18. Changing sea ice conditions and marine transportation activity in Canadian Arctic waters between 1990 and 2012
  19. Recent trends in temperature and precipitation over the Balearic Islands (Spain)
  20. Meat consumption and climate change: the role of non-governmental organizations
  21. Natural hazards in Australia: floods

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