Journal Title
Title of Journal: Landscape Ecol
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Abbravation: Landscape Ecology
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Publisher
Springer Netherlands
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Authors: Pelayo Acevedo Miguel Ángel Farfán Ana Luz Márquez Miguel DelibesMateos Raimundo Real Juan Mario Vargas
Publish Date: 2010/10/19
Volume: 26, Issue: 1, Pages: 19-31
Abstract
In recent decades Mediterranean landscapes have been experiencing more rapid changes in land use than usual which have affected the ecology of the species inhabiting this biodiversity hotspot Some studies have assessed the effect of such changes on biodiversity but most of these were diachronic studies of population dynamics or synchronic studies of species habitat selection whereas few studies have simultaneously taken into account temporal changes in habitat composition and changes in species distribution This study analysed the effects of landuse changes on the distribution of wild ungulates Capreolus capreolus Capra pyrenaica Cervus elaphus and Sus scrofa Using favourability function and Markov chain analysis combined with cellular automata we addressed the following objectives i to examine the environmental determinants of ungulate distribution in the past 1960s and present 1990s ii to model land use for 2040 to forecast future species distributions and iii to assess the biogeographical differences between the abovementioned study periods past–present and present–future Species favourability was predicted to be more widely distributed in the present than in the past but this increase varied across species Areas predicted to be favourable in the present should remain stable in the future but in addition there will be more new favourable areas not previously occupied by these species The results are discussed from the perspective of the socioeconomic relevance of wild ungulates in relation to some unfavourable areas of Mediterranean regionsOur gratitude to two anonymous reviewers and Dean Anderson for their useful comments and suggestions on a previous version of the manuscript Funding was provided by the project CGL200911316/BOS—FEDER Special thanks go to E Martínez for providing us with the maps of the species abundance for 1960s and to the Junta de Andalucía for supplying the Annual Hunting Reports We extend special thanks to J Olivero for ideas and discussions on methodological aspects P Acevedo and M DelibesMateos are currently holding a Juan de la Cierva research contract awarded by the Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación—Fondo Social Europeo
Keywords:
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Other Papers In This Journal:
- Spatial pattern of greenspace affects land surface temperature: evidence from the heavily urbanized Beijing metropolitan area, China
- Farmland bird responses to intersecting replanted areas
- How the eastern US National Forests were formed
- Spatial resilience: integrating landscape ecology, resilience, and sustainability
- The use of metapopulation and optimal foraging theories to predict movement and foraging decisions of mobile animals in heterogeneous landscapes
- Characterising landscape connectivity for conservation planning using a dispersal guild approach
- Effects of field and landscape variables on crop colonization and biological control of the cabbage root fly Delia radicum
- The potential to restore native woody plant richness and composition in a reforesting landscape: a modeling approach in the Ecuadorian Andes
- Biogeochemical fluxes in landscapes
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of black-tailed prairie dog colonies affected by plague
- Landscape connectivity and animal behavior: functional grain as a key determinant for dispersal
- Thresholds of landscape change: a new tool to manage green infrastructure and social–economic development
- Testing coexistence of extinction debt and colonization credit in fragmented calcareous grasslands with complex historical dynamics
- Changes in landscape naturalness derived from a historical land register—a case study from NE Germany
- Linking Land-use, Water Body Type and Water Quality in Southern New Zealand
- Spatial fit between water quality policies and hydrologic ecosystem services in an urbanizing agricultural landscape
- Modeling exurban development near Washington, DC, USA: comparison of a pattern-based model and a spatially-explicit econometric model
- The impact of land use/land cover scale on modelling urban ecosystem services
- Using landscape analysis to assess and model tsunami damage in Aceh province, Sumatra
- Geographic position and landscape composition explain regional patterns of migrating landbird distributions during spring stopover along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico
- Effects of thematic resolution on landscape pattern analysis
- Diagnostic tools to evaluate a spatial land change projection along a gradient of an explanatory variable
- Ontologies for transparent integrated human-natural system modelling
- Scenarios of long-term farm structural change for application in climate change impact assessment
- Influence of patch, habitat, and landscape characteristics on patterns of Lower Keys marsh rabbit occurrence following Hurricane Wilma
- Multi-scale predictive habitat suitability modeling based on hierarchically delineated patches: an example for yellow-billed cuckoos nesting in riparian forests, California, USA
- Long-term vegetation dynamics driven by climatic variations in the Inner Mongolia grassland: findings from 30-year monitoring
- Relative importance of management vs. design for implementation of large-scale ecological networks
- A global perspective on reforesting landscapes
- Consequences of a large-scale fragmentation experiment for Neotropical bats: disentangling the relative importance of local and landscape-scale effects
- Functional connectivity of lynx at their southern range periphery in Ontario, Canada
- M. Doyle and C. A. Drew (eds): Large-Scale Ecosystem Restoration: Five Case Studies from the United States
- The sensitivity of least-cost habitat graphs to relative cost surface values
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