Authors: K Peren Arin Alexander Molchanov Otto F M Reich
Publish Date: 2012/06/06
Volume: 45, Issue: 1, Pages: 23-38
Abstract
The available evidence on the effects of political variables on both returns and volatility of aggregate stock indices is scant and mixed Applying Bayesian Model Averaging to a panel dataset of 17 parliamentary democracies spanning the postwar period until 1995 we test the robustness of political variables in explaining stock returns and stock return volatility While we find that the influence of political variables on excess returns is weak there is evidence of some political variables explaining return volatility
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