Authors: Grani A Hanasusanto Vladimir Roitch Daniel Kuhn Wolfram Wiesemann
Publish Date: 2015/03/21
Volume: 151, Issue: 1, Pages: 35-62
Abstract
The objective of uncertainty quantification is to certify that a given physical engineering or economic system satisfies multiple safety conditions with high probability A more ambitious goal is to actively influence the system so as to guarantee and maintain its safety a scenario which can be modeled through a chance constrained program In this paper we assume that the parameters of the system are governed by an ambiguous distribution that is only known to belong to an ambiguity set characterized through generalized moment bounds and structural properties such as symmetry unimodality or independence patterns We delineate the watershed between tractability and intractability in ambiguityaverse uncertainty quantification and chance constrained programming Using tools from distributionally robust optimization we derive explicit conic reformulations for tractable problem classes and suggest efficiently computable conservative approximations for intractable ones
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