Authors: K AlankoHuotari K Mursula I G Usoskin G A Kovaltsov
Publish Date: 2006/11/09
Volume: 238, Issue: 2, Pages: 391-404
Abstract
We study empirical relations between the modulation of galactic cosmic rays quantified in terms of the modulation potential and the following global heliospheric parameters the open solar magnetic flux the tilt angle of the heliospheric current sheet and the polarity of the heliospheric magnetic field We show that a combination of these parameters explains the majority of the modulation potential variations during the neutron monitor era 1951 – 2005 Two empirical models are discussed a quasilinear model and a model assuming a powerlaw relation between the modulation potential and the magnetic flux Both models describe the data fairly well These empirical models provide a simple tool for evaluating various cosmicray related effects on different time scales The models can be extended backwards in time or used for predictions if the corresponding global heliospheric variables can be independently estimated
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