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Title of Journal: Reg Environ Change

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Abbravation: Regional Environmental Change

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Springer-Verlag

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DOI

10.1016/0008-6223(88)90152-2

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1436-378X

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Longterm increase in climatic dryness in the East

Authors: Christian Körner Dimitrios Sarris Dimitrios Christodoulakis
Publish Date: 2005/04/02
Volume: 5, Issue: 1, Pages: 27-36
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Abstract

The Eastern Mediterranean region is among the regions which were predicted to become drier under IPCC climate scenarios Here we document a gradual reduction of rainfall and tree growth and the loss of rural springs during the last decades of the twentieth century Years with severe drought are associated with very low tree growth dendrochronology and dry falling of springs as evidenced by interviews with local stakeholders The paper discusses the consequences of accelerating drought on natural vegetation and agriculture and points at the interaction with fire dynamics and economy both likely to enhance the drought effectThe dendroecological data shown here are part of an MSc thesis by Dimitrios Sarris Fabian Meyer Basel helped with advice on the dendrological analysis The stable isotope data were kindly provided by Rolf Siegwolf PSI Villingen Switzerland Part of the interviews Ambelos region became available thanks to Konstantinos Riglis of Marathokampos The artwork was done by S PeláezRiedl Pascal Niklaus helped with statistics Financial support by AVEC integrated Assessment of Vulnerable Ecosystems under global Change European Commission EVK2CT200120010 led by W Cramer Potsdam is gratefully acknowledged This work was presented at the European drought risk conference in Pythagorion Samos Greece in April 2003 Antony Smith Staffs UK was so kind to check our English during an early drafting stage The text profited a lot from two anonymous referees’ input During publication DS was supported by the Research Committee of the University of Patras


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  1. Climatic and environmental change in the Karakoram: making sense of community perceptions and adaptation strategies
  2. Advanced terrestrial ecosystem analysis and modelling
  3. Climate impact on Italian fisheries (Mediterranean Sea)
  4. Regional differences in mitigation strategies: an example for passenger transport
  5. Synthesis of ecosystem vulnerability to climate change in the Netherlands shows the need to consider environmental fluctuations in adaptation measures
  6. Developing an integrated approach to enhance the delivering of environmental goods and services by agro-ecosystems
  7. The transition in Dutch water management
  8. Estimating urban water demand under conditions of rapid growth: the case of Shanghai
  9. Linking agricultural adaptation strategies, food security and vulnerability: evidence from West Africa
  10. Fluctuations in the size of Lake Chad: consequences on the livelihoods of the riverain peoples in eastern Niger
  11. Assessing the value of climate information and forecasts for the agricultural sector in the Southeastern United States: multi-output stochastic frontier approach
  12. Drastic reduction in the potential habitats for alpine and subalpine vegetation in the Pyrenees due to twenty-first-century climate change
  13. Ecosystem services in mountain regions: experts’ perceptions and research intensity
  14. International financing for climate change adaptation in small island developing states
  15. Expansion of cropland area and formation of the eastern farming-pastoral ecotone in northern China during the twentieth century
  16. Dynamics and determinants of land change in India: integrating satellite data with village socioeconomics
  17. Spatially differentiated management-revised discharge scenarios for an integrated analysis of multi-realisation climate and land use scenarios for the Elbe River basin
  18. Sequential impacts of Polynesian and European settlement on vegetation and environmental processes recorded in sediments at Whangapoua Estuary, Great Barrier Island, New Zealand
  19. Precipitation-driven decrease in wildfires in British Columbia
  20. Social capital and citizen perceptions of coastal management for tackling climate change impacts in Greece
  21. The climate of the Mediterranean region: research progress and climate change impacts
  22. Local vulnerability as an advantage: mangrove forest management in Pará state, north Brazil, under conditions of illegality
  23. Developing indicators of ecosystem condition using geographic information systems and remote sensing
  24. Spatial assessment of vegetation vulnerability to accumulated drought in Northeast China

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