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Title of Journal: Reg Environ Change

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Abbravation: Regional Environmental Change

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Springer Berlin Heidelberg

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DOI

10.1007/s11077-014-9198-1

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ISSN

1436-378X

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Synthesis of ecosystem vulnerability to climate ch

Authors: P M van Bodegom J Verboom J P M Witte C C Vos R P Bartholomeus W Geertsema A Cormont M van der Veen R Aerts
Publish Date: 2013/07/23
Volume: 14, Issue: 3, Pages: 933-942
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Abstract

Climate change impacts on individual species are various and range from shifts in phenology and functional properties to changes in productivity and dispersal The combination of impacts determines future biodiversity and species composition but is difficult to evaluate with a single method Instead a comparison of mutually independent approaches provides information and confidence in patterns observed beyond what may be achieved in individual approaches Here we carried out such comparison to assess which ecosystem types in the Netherlands appear most vulnerable to climate change impacts as arising from changes in hydrology nutrient conditions and dispersal limitations We thus combined metaanalyses of species range shifts with species distribution modelling and ecohydrological modelling with expert knowledge in two respective impact studies Both impact studies showed that nutrientpoor ecosystems and ecosystem types with fluctuating water tables—like hay meadows moist heathlands and moorlands—seem to be most at risk upon climate change A subsequent metaanalysis of species–environmental stress relations indicated that particularly endangered species are adversely affected by the combination of drought and oxygen stress caused by fluctuating moisture conditions This implies that adaptation measures should not only aim to optimise mean environmental conditions but should also buffer environmental extremes Major uncertainties in the assessment included the quantitative impacts of vegetationhydrology feedbacks vegetation adaptation and interactions between dispersal capacity and traits linked to environmental selection Once such quantifications become feasible adaptation measures may be tailormade and optimised to conserve vulnerable ecosystem typesThis study was carried out in the framework of Project A1 ‘Biodiversity in a changing environment predicting spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation’ Project A2 ‘Climate change and habitat fragmentation impacts and adaptation strategies’ of the Dutch national research programme Climate Change and Spatial planning wwwklimaatvoorruimtenl and the joint research programme of the Dutch Water Utility sector

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Other Papers In This Journal:
  1. Climatic and environmental change in the Karakoram: making sense of community perceptions and adaptation strategies
  2. Advanced terrestrial ecosystem analysis and modelling
  3. Climate impact on Italian fisheries (Mediterranean Sea)
  4. Regional differences in mitigation strategies: an example for passenger transport
  5. Long-term increase in climatic dryness in the East-Mediterranean as evidenced for the island of Samos
  6. Developing an integrated approach to enhance the delivering of environmental goods and services by agro-ecosystems
  7. The transition in Dutch water management
  8. Estimating urban water demand under conditions of rapid growth: the case of Shanghai
  9. Linking agricultural adaptation strategies, food security and vulnerability: evidence from West Africa
  10. Fluctuations in the size of Lake Chad: consequences on the livelihoods of the riverain peoples in eastern Niger
  11. Assessing the value of climate information and forecasts for the agricultural sector in the Southeastern United States: multi-output stochastic frontier approach
  12. Drastic reduction in the potential habitats for alpine and subalpine vegetation in the Pyrenees due to twenty-first-century climate change
  13. Ecosystem services in mountain regions: experts’ perceptions and research intensity
  14. International financing for climate change adaptation in small island developing states
  15. Expansion of cropland area and formation of the eastern farming-pastoral ecotone in northern China during the twentieth century
  16. Dynamics and determinants of land change in India: integrating satellite data with village socioeconomics
  17. Spatially differentiated management-revised discharge scenarios for an integrated analysis of multi-realisation climate and land use scenarios for the Elbe River basin
  18. Sequential impacts of Polynesian and European settlement on vegetation and environmental processes recorded in sediments at Whangapoua Estuary, Great Barrier Island, New Zealand
  19. Precipitation-driven decrease in wildfires in British Columbia
  20. Social capital and citizen perceptions of coastal management for tackling climate change impacts in Greece
  21. The climate of the Mediterranean region: research progress and climate change impacts
  22. Local vulnerability as an advantage: mangrove forest management in Pará state, north Brazil, under conditions of illegality
  23. Developing indicators of ecosystem condition using geographic information systems and remote sensing
  24. Spatial assessment of vegetation vulnerability to accumulated drought in Northeast China
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