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Title of Journal: Sci China Technol Sci

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Abbravation: Science China Technological Sciences

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SP Science China Press

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DOI

10.1016/0889-5406(88)90106-0

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1862-281X

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Interbasin water transfersupply model and risk a

Authors: ShuFeng Xi BenDe Wang GuoHua Liang XueSen Li LiLi Lou
Publish Date: 2010/11/26
Volume: 53, Issue: 12, Pages: 3316-3323
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Abstract

This paper develops a new interbasin water transfersupply and risk assessment model with consideration of rainfall forecast information Firstly based on the current state of reservoir and rainfall forecast information from the global forecast system GFS the actual diversion amount can be determined according to the interbasin water transfer rules with the decision tree method secondly the reservoir supply operation system is used to distribute water resource of the interbasin water transfer reservoir finally the integrated risk assessment model is built by selecting the reliability of water transfer the reliability water shortage risk the resiliency and the vulnerability of water supply as risk analysis indexes The case study shows that the interbasin water transfersupply model with rainfall forecast information considered can reduce the comprehensive risk and improve the utilization efficiency of water resource as compared with conventional and optimal water distribution models

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