Paper Search Console

Home Search Page About Contact

Journal Title

Title of Journal: Synthese

Search In Journal Title:

Abbravation: Synthese

Search In Journal Abbravation:

Publisher

Kluwer Academic Publishers

Search In Publisher:

DOI

10.1016/0264-410x(90)90241-d

Search In DOI:

ISSN

1573-0964

Search In ISSN:
Search In Title Of Papers:

Sleeping Beauty and Selflocation A Hybrid Model

Authors: Nick Bostrom
Publish Date: 2006/06/01
Volume: 157, Issue: 1, Pages: 59-78
PDF Link

Abstract

The Sleeping Beauty problem is test stone for theories about self locating belief ie theories about how we should reason when data or theories contain indexical information Opinion on this problem is split between two camps those who defend the “1/2 view” and those who advocate the “1/3 view” I argue that both these positions are mistaken Instead I propose a new “hybrid” model which avoids the faults of the standard views while retaining their attractive properties This model appears to violate Bayesian conditionalization but I argue that this is not the case By paying close attention to the details of conditionalization in contexts where indexical information is relevant we discover that the hybrid model is in fact consistent with Bayesian kinematics If the proposed model is correct there are important lessons for the study of selflocation observation selection theory and anthropic reasoning

Keywords:

References

.
Search In Abstract Of Papers:
Other Papers In This Journal:
  1. Foiling the Black Knight
  2. Physicalism and strict implication
  3. Adequate formalization
  4. Desires, beliefs and conditional desirability
  5. Inscrutability and visual objects
  6. Margin for error semantics and signal perception
  7. Phylogenetic inference to the best explanation and the bad lot argument
  8. Against a descriptive vindication of doxastic voluntarism
  9. Epistemic and Dialectical Models of Begging the Question
  10. Parsing the rainbow
  11. Why neuroscience matters to cognitive neuropsychology
  12. Why neuroscience matters to cognitive neuropsychology
  13. Existence problems in philosophy and science
  14. Logic and social interaction: introduction
  15. Similarity and cotenability
  16. Towards a reflexive framework for development: technology transfer after the empirical turn
  17. A triviality result for the “Desire by Necessity” thesis
  18. The ontology of social groups
  19. Which empathy? Limitations in the mirrored “understanding” of emotion
  20. “If you’d wiggled A, then B would’ve changed”
  21. Recognition-primed group decisions via judgement aggregation
  22. A discrete solution for the paradox of Achilles and the tortoise
  23. A foundation for presentism
  24. Externalism and “knowing what” one thinks
  25. Comparative syllogism and counterfactual knowledge
  26. Semantics, conceptual spaces, and the meeting of minds
  27. Inference to the best explanation and mathematical realism
  28. Why follow the royal rule?
  29. Ordering effects, updating effects, and the specter of global skepticism
  30. Evolutionary dynamics of Lewis signaling games: signaling systems vs. partial pooling
  31. Can the new indispensability argument be saved from Euclidean rescues?
  32. Starting from the scenario Euclid–Bolyai–Einstein
  33. Reversing 30 years of discussion: why causal decision theorists should one-box
  34. On denying presuppositions
  35. Remarks on counterpossibles
  36. Knowledge and the norm of assertion: a simple test
  37. Information, possible worlds and the cooptation of scepticism
  38. Levels of communication and lexical semantics
  39. Many entities, no identity
  40. Why Euclid’s geometry brooked no doubt: J. H. Lambert on certainty and the existence of models
Search Result: