Journal Title
Title of Journal: Synthese
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Publisher
Springer Netherlands
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Authors: Linton Wang WeiFen Ma
Publish Date: 2013/08/08
Volume: 191, Issue: 6, Pages: 1327-1348
Abstract
Comparative syllogism is a type of scientific reasoning widely used explicitly or implicitly for inferences from observations to conclusions about effectiveness but its philosophical significance has not been fully elaborated or appreciated In its simplest form the comparative syllogism derives a conclusion about the effectiveness of a factor eg a treatment or an exposure on a certain property via an experiment design using a test experimental group and a comparison control group Our objective is to show that the comparative syllogism can be understood as encoding a simulation view of counterfactuals in that counterfactual situations are conceptual constructs that can be correctly simulated by homogeneous comparison groups In this simulation view the empirical data from the comparison groups play an evidential role in the evaluation of counterfactuals and in obtaining counterfactual knowledge We further indicate how successful experimental designs can help us to obtain correct simulations and thus to bring us to scientificallyempirically based counterfactual knowledge
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