Journal Title
Title of Journal: Nat Hazards
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Abbravation: Natural Hazards
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Publisher
Springer Netherlands
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Authors: JuiSheng Chou KuoHsin Yang MinYuan Cheng WanTing Tu
Publish Date: 2012/12/06
Volume: 66, Issue: 2, Pages: 167-190
Abstract
With increasing threat to lives and properties identifying and assessing disaster potentials has become necessary and prior for effective disaster preparation and rescue planning This study first introduces practical methods currently used in Taipei City Taiwan to identify and assess heavy rainfall–induced potential risks on flood debris flow and landslide The identified disaster potential information is further applied to a series of deterministic and probabilistic risk analyses using Shilin District of Taipei City as a case study The deterministic risk analyses are conducted to evaluate the impact of various heavy rainfall intensities on the residents The probabilistic risk analyses are performed to establish risk curves for the population affected by heavy rainfall–induced hazards The risk curve represents the relationships between the affected population and the annual exceedance probability This study found the annual exceedance probability is very sensitive to the assumed coefficients of variation of the affected population It is recommended historical statistical data on the correlation between affected population and Rainfall Intensity should be recorded and compiled in order to assess the actual probability distribution function of the affected population Risk analysis results are further applied to assess the community evacuation capacity in this district Last shortterm and longterm mitigation strategies and recommendations are discussedThe finical support for this study was provided by the Taiwan Ministry of Interior under the grant for “Disaster Prevention and Protection Project of Taipei City” The authors also would like to thank the Taipei City Fire Department Geotechnical Engineering Office and Hydraulic Engineering Office of Taipei City Government for providing valuable information and feedback for this study Last the authors sincerely appreciate the constructive comments by the anonymous reviewers
Keywords:
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- Deformation analysis of a burst red mud reservoir using combined descending and ascending pass ENVISAT ASAR data
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- Determinants of the increased CO 2 emission and adaption strategy in Chinese energy-intensive industry
- Multifractality in seismic sequences of NW Himalaya
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- Extremely cool summers in Central and Eastern Europe (1951–2010)
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- Public health consequences of the 2008 Hurricane Ike windstorm in Ohio, USA
- Assessing the immediate and short-term impact of flooding on residential property participant behaviour
- Flood risk perception in Central-Eastern European members states of the EU: a review
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