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Title of Journal: Climatic Change

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Abbravation: Climatic Change

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Springer Netherlands

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DOI

10.1016/0304-3975(83)90089-0

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1573-1480

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Potential effect of climate change on observed fir

Authors: Craig R Nitschke John L Innes
Publish Date: 2012/06/22
Volume: 116, Issue: 3-4, Pages: 579-591
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Abstract

Climate change is predicted to result in a warmer and drier climate in many parts of the world including southcentral British Columbia With a shift in climate a change in fire regimes is likely to occur In this study a statistically significant increase in mean fire size was predicted to occur along with an increase maximum fire size and decrease in the mean fire interval A change in these fire regime characteristics suggests a climatechange driven shift in fire regimes may occur by the 2020s The shift in fire regime suggests the proportion of the landscape burning every 50 years or less will increase from 34  to 93  by the 2080s Change in fire regimes will have direct implications for ecosystem management as the combination of large flammable fuel types and fireprone climatic conditions will increase the risk of larger more frequent fires and increase the costs and dangers involved in managing fireprone forests in the Cordilleran region of southcentral British Columbia The climate changedriven shift in fire regime questions the use of historic fire regime characteristics for determining landscapelevel conservation targets within the study areaWe would like to thank the two anonymous reviewers for their excellent comments and critiques which have improved this paper We would also like to thank Dr John Nelson Dr Clive Welham and Dr JP Kimmins for their comments on an early version of this paper We would also like to thank the Sustainable Forest Management Network for funding this research and Tolko Industries Ltd for allowing us to use one of their management units as a case study

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  2. Fire and sustainability: considerations for California’s altered future climate
  3. Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector
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  5. Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world
  6. Impact of climate change on U.S. building energy demand: sensitivity to spatiotemporal scales, balance point temperature, and population distribution
  7. Facilitating adaptation of biodiversity to climate change: a conceptual framework applied to the world’s largest Mediterranean-climate woodland
  8. How stakeholders handle uncertainty in a local climate adaptation governance network
  9. An interactive multi-scale integrated assessment of future regional water availability for agricultural irrigation in East Anglia and North West England
  10. Influences of local weather, large-scale climatic drivers, and the ca . 11 year solar cycle on lake ice breakup dates; 1905–2004
  11. Non-linear responses of glaciated prairie wetlands to climate warming
  12. Climate change impacts and adaptations: lessons learned from the greater Zambeze River Valley and beyond
  13. Near-term prediction of impact-relevant extreme temperature indices
  14. Temperature variations and rice yields in China: historical contributions and future trends
  15. A rose by any other name ...?: What members of the general public prefer to call “climate change”
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  18. Uncertainty in resilience to climate change in India and Indian states
  19. To what extent can a long-term temperature target guide near-term climate change commitments?
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