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Title of Journal: Climatic Change

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Abbravation: Climatic Change

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Springer Netherlands

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DOI

10.1007/bf01876740

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1573-1480

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Changing sea ice conditions and marine transportat

Authors: Larissa Pizzolato Stephen E L Howell Chris Derksen Jackie Dawson Luke Copland
Publish Date: 2014/01/24
Volume: 123, Issue: 2, Pages: 161-173
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Abstract

Declining sea ice area in the Canadian Arctic has gained significant attention with respect to the prospect of increased shipping activities To investigate relationships between recent declines in sea ice area with Arctic maritime activity trend and correlation analysis was performed on sea ice area data for total firstyear ice FYI and multiyear ice MYI and on a comprehensive shipping dataset of observed vessel transits through the Vessel Traffic Reporting Arctic Canada Traffic Zone NORDREG zone from 1990 to 2012 Links to surface air temperature SAT and the satellite derived melt season length were also investigated Between 1990 and 2012 statistically significant increases in vessel traffic were observed within the NORDREG zone on monthly and annual timescales coincident with declines in sea ice area FYI MYI and total ice during the shipping season and on a monthly basis Similarly the NORDREG zone is experiencing increased shoulder season shipping activity alongside an increasing melt season length and warming surface air temperatures SAT Despite these trends only weak correlations between the variables were identified although a step increase in shipping activity is apparent following the former summer sea ice extent minimum in 2007 Other nonenvironmental factors have also likely contributed to the observed increase in Arctic shipping activity within the Canadian Arctic such as tourism demand community resupply needs and resource exploration trends

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