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Title of Journal: Climatic Change

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Abbravation: Climatic Change

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Springer Netherlands

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DOI

10.1007/978-94-011-3176-6_16

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1573-1480

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Natural hazards in Australia floods

Authors: Fiona Johnson Christopher J White Albert van Dijk Marie Ekstrom Jason P Evans Dörte Jakob Anthony S Kiem Michael Leonard Alexandra Rouillard Seth Westra
Publish Date: 2016/05/11
Volume: 139, Issue: 1, Pages: 21-35
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Abstract

Floods are caused by a number of interacting factors making it remarkably difficult to explain changes in flood hazard This paper reviews the current understanding of historical trends and variability in flood hazard across Australia Links between flood and rainfall trends cannot be made due to the influence of climate processes over a number of spatial and temporal scales as well as landscape changes that affect the catchment response There are also still considerable uncertainties in future rainfall projections particularly for subdaily extreme rainfall events This is in addition to the inherent uncertainty in hydrological modelling such as antecedent conditions and feedback mechanismsResearch questions are posed based on the current state of knowledge These include a need for highresolution climate modelling studies and efforts in compiling and analysing databases of subdaily rainfall and flood records Finally there is a need to develop modelling frameworks that can deal with the interaction between climate processes at different spatiotemporal scales so that historical flood trends can be better explained and future flood behaviour understoodThis paper was a result of collaboration through the working group ‘Trends and Extremes’ as part of the Australian Water and Energy Exchanges Initiative OzEWEX J Evans was supported by the Australian Research Council Future Fellowship FT110100576 A Van Dijk was supported through Australian Research Council’s Discovery Projects funding scheme project number DP40103679 S Westra and F Johnson were supported through Australian Research Council’s Discovery Project DP150100411 The constructive comments from the anonymous reviewers helped to improve the clarity of the paper

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