Authors: Manfred Lenzen Roberto Schaeffer Jonas Karstensen Glen P Peters
Publish Date: 2013/10/14
Volume: 121, Issue: 4, Pages: 815-824
Abstract
Brazil’s economic development has been underpinned by a diverse and – in a global comparison – unusual set of energy carriers notably hydroelectricity and ethanol from sugar cane Its energy mix makes Brazil one of the least energyrelated carbonintensive economies worldwide Given that the country is fast becoming one of the world’s economic powerhouses decisionmakers need to understand the drivers underlying past and current carbon dioxide emissions trends We therefore investigate a which key longterm drivers have led to Brazil’s unique emissions profile and b the implications of these drivers for Brazil’s national policies We show that Brazil’s emissions are growing mainly due to increasing individual standards of living exports and population size and that this growth is so far unchallenged by technological and structural improvements toward lower emissions intensities and more efficient production structures As these trends are likely to continue amidst growing international pressure on key economies to reduce their carbon emissions a decoupling of drivers from emissions is needed to simultaneously meet development and environmental goalsThis research was partly funded by the Norwegian Research Council project “Quantifying the global socioeconomic and policy drivers for Brazil’s contribution to global warming” 196090 and partly by the Australian Research Council through its Discovery Project DP0985522 and its Linkage Project LP0669290 Regis Rathmann provided information on statistical revisions of the Brazilian input–output tables
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