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Title of Journal: Climatic Change

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Abbravation: Climatic Change

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Springer Netherlands

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DOI

10.1002/chin.201534214

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1573-1480

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How stakeholders handle uncertainty in a local cli

Authors: Manuel Gottschick
Publish Date: 2014/08/22
Volume: 132, Issue: 3, Pages: 445-457
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Abstract

Uncertainty is a debated issue in climate research in research on the governance of climate adaptation and in research on the social limits to adaptation As a contribution to this debate a constructivist discourse research approach is chosen to analyse and interpret how stakeholders handle uncertainty related to climate change knowledge Four diverse conceptualisations of how uncertainty is handled serve as the discourse analysis framework rational discourse noregret discourse blissful discourse and formative discourse This framework is applied to analyse and interpret interviews of diverse stakeholder groups from a local governance adaptation network In this network conflicts between irrigation farmers water authorities and nature conservation are negotiated For most interviewees uncertainty about climate change knowledge is not judged as problematic This paper elaborates on why this is so and provides tentative assessments for each discourse typeI would like to thank the editors of this special issue for their thorough support and the four anonymous reviewers for their critical review and constructive suggestions on a previous version of the present paper They propelled me to rewrite large parts of it and helped to clarify the approach and findings Furthermore I am especially grateful to my colleague Dr Jürgen Schaper who conducted most of the interviews that I was allowed to analyse

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  2. Fire and sustainability: considerations for California’s altered future climate
  3. Projections of global warming-induced impacts on winter storm losses in the German private household sector
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  13. Near-term prediction of impact-relevant extreme temperature indices
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  17. Mapping current and future potential snakebite risk in the new world
  18. Uncertainty in resilience to climate change in India and Indian states
  19. To what extent can a long-term temperature target guide near-term climate change commitments?
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